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Woofun AI reports that the cryptocurrency sector has fundamentally shifted from a regulatory wilderness to a compliance-driven ecosystem, a transition anchored by the approval of Bitcoin ETFs and the political influence of figures like Trump. This structural pivot marks the end of the pure cryptocurrency era, where decentralized systems once operated beyond the reach of governments and traditional financial constraints. The vision articulated by Satoshi Nakamoto for a peer-to-peer electronic cash system, which initially thrived on its ability to exist outside centralized control, is now being subsumed by mainstream financial integration. As noted by Zeke and compiled by Baihua Blockchain, the industry's core driving force—operating free from red tape—is being replaced by a desperate competition to meet the demands of traditional finance, signaling a profound decline in native cryptographic innovation.
The irony of this compliance-driven shift is stark, as the industry that once defined itself by breaking free from traditional finance (TradFi) now strives to integrate with it. The early milestones of the industry, from the ICO boom to the DeFi explosion sparked by UNI, were rooted in the elimination of complex financial constraints.
However, the current landscape sees stablecoins, real-world assets, and payment use cases becoming the new mainstream, while pure asset issuance has devolved into mere contract addresses and narratives. The term "Meme coin chains" is no longer derogatory but descriptive of an industry that has lost its way. Over the past two years, the inability of blockchain to restrain malicious actors behind wallet addresses has led to the inevitable decline of many narratives. NFT, GameFi, and SocialFi rely heavily on real-world teams, raising questions about supervision and product delivery. The vision of non-financialized applications cannot be achieved through infrastructure upgrades alone, and imposing Proof of Work (PoW) standards on project teams is impossible.
This shift toward compliance marks the beginning of a 'non-financial crypto era,' where grassroots innovation withers and opportunities shrink, leading to an era of on-chain hegemony.
The rise of stablecoin regulation, particularly through the passage of the Genius Act, represents a critical variable in this transformation. The Act defines "payment stablecoins" as digital assets fully backed 1:1 by highly liquid assets such as the US dollar or short-term Treasury bonds, restricting issuance to licensed and regulated entities. Issuers must hold reserves equal to the amount of stablecoins issued, with those exceeding a $50 billion market cap are required to undergo annual financial audits and comply with Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and Counter-Financing of Terrorism (CFT) regulations. Stablecoins are not considered securities but are regulated under banking laws, bypassing the SEC.
This framework aims to promote the US stablecoin industry, enhance financial inclusion, and strengthen the dollar's dominance, while prohibiting large tech companies from issuing stablecoins without approval. The long-standing concerns about Tether's potential collapse have faded, but the strict regulation of stablecoins hands control over on-chain transaction mediums to the United States. Private companies reap the benefits of US debt, while countries holding monetary control wield immense influence over blockchain systems. The fear of stablecoins in DeFi protocols being frozen is no longer fictional, highlighting the risks of this regulatory capture.
Woofun AI data shows that the rise of Yield-Bearing Stablecoins (YBS) is gaining momentum, with Ethena aiming to offer yields comparable to UST during bull markets while maintaining greater stability. Truly native on-chain stablecoins may ultimately rely on delta-neutral strategies, such as those used by f(x)Protocol or Resolv, which uses hedging on platforms like Hyperliquid.
However, the YBS space is crowded with traditional hedge funds, market makers like DWF, and trading platforms competing for shares of the ENA market. This frenzied craze has deviated from its original intent, with project teams using aggressive strategies to grab market share. True innovation is being drowned out, and entry barriers for startups are rising. In this environment, technology and decentralization become irrelevant, and innovative protocols like f(x) are largely ignored. The winning formula is now CEX infrastructure combined with top quantitative teams, where APY and user convenience rule. Although choosing YBS might be better than swapping ETH for JPEG images or chasing absurd narratives, these yield products packaged by CEXs have become the only recognized "innovation" in this cycle, highlighting how far the development path has strayed.
Asset issuance platforms are evolving into Web2-like models, with public blockchains becoming the largest asset issuance platforms since the ICO era. Platforms like Base and Pump have business models almost identical to Web2, offering little value back to the community and sometimes falling behind centralized trading platforms (CEX). Web3's original vision of democratization and shared prosperity has lost its meaning. Launchpads have become the last stronghold for native cryptocurrency users to fulfill their dreams of getting rich, but the ecosystem is unhealthy.
Users must pay platforms or tools like GMGN to participate, making the experience akin to firing in trenches. Asset issuance has become increasingly complicated, with some projects taking place entirely off-chain. Starting with AI frameworks earlier this year, projects completely detached from the chain are issuing Tokens, some of which are themselves asset issuance platforms that never touch the blockchain. Extreme speculation is dragging down the entire industry's standards, raising questions about the point of such activities.
Speculative narratives have shifted from DeSci to celebrity coins, with Changpeng Zhao and Vitalik introducing the concept of Decentralized Science (DeSci) to let speculators speculate while allowing true innovation in scientific research. This narrative, however, only gained brief popularity, as research on guinea pigs and classical mechanics cannot compete with internet memes and bizarre AI creations. After AI and DeSci cooled down, celebrity coins took center stage, from Trump in North America to President Javier Milei in South America, draining the market's remaining liquidity.
When the market cools down and narratives can no longer rotate, asset issuance resorts to Ponzi schemes. The 'Virtuals' model combines Binance's Launchpool with Alpha strategies: staking Tokens to earn points to participate in launches, and then staking newly issued Tokens. Prices do soar, but such blatant tactics no longer excite investors. The so-called internet capital market "Believe" remains uncertain, but the continuous lowering of issuance thresholds and surge in malicious activities suggest a need for a whole new set of rules.
The comparison between past DeFi innovation and current Ponzi schemes reveals a stark contrast. In the last cycle, amid countless flywheels, Ponzi schemes, and fleeting narratives, the industry at least produced DeFi—a true gem that spawned numerous innovations. DeFi's flywheels were built on technological breakthroughs and community consensus, whereas current schemes rely on aggressive marketing and short-term gains. The "Believe" concept, which suggests that belief alone can drive value, is a dangerous precedent.
The lack of effective means to restrain malicious actors behind wallet addresses has led to a decline in trust and a rise in scams. The industry's focus on asset issuance has shifted from creating value to extracting it, with projects prioritizing token sales over product development. This trend is unsustainable, as it relies on a constant influx of new investors to pay off earlier ones, a classic Ponzi structure. The absence of genuine innovation in this cycle is a clear indicator of the industry's decline.
The attention economy has become the dominant force in the crypto space, with platforms like Blur using point systems to buy attention and trading platforms spending real money to build MCN-style organizations around Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs). This strategy replicates the success of Pinduoduo and Douyin in the traditional internet space. Compared to founders hustling at conferences to promote technology, this new approach is more direct and effective. Attention is one of the most valuable assets of this era, but it is difficult to measure. Kaito is trying to quantify it by adding AI elements, claiming to evaluate the "value" of information and quantify influence.
However, this model cannot capture long-term value, as tokens are becoming fast-moving consumer goods. The pitfalls of three-stage point systems are well-known, and the impact of Blur's strategy has been analyzed in previous articles. If future projects must rely on buying attention, it is hard to judge whether that is right or wrong. Aggressive marketing is understandable, but the entire ecosystem is sliding toward a culture of universal pumping.
The critique of universal pumping culture and short-termism highlights the dangers of this attention-driven model. Turning influence into profit has become a mature business, whether it is the US president, Binance, or today's internet celebrities. None of this can bring long-term prosperity, as everyone is just pursuing their own interests. The focus on traffic and attention has led to a neglect of technological innovation and product development. Projects are prioritizing marketing over substance, leading to a decline in the quality of offerings. The industry's reliance on short-term gains has created a volatile and unstable environment, where projects rise and fall quickly. This short-termism is unsustainable, as it does not create lasting value or build a strong foundation for the industry. The need for a shift back to long-term thinking and genuine innovation is urgent.
In conclusion, the need for true native innovation is paramount. Stablecoins are spreading globally, and blockchain-based payments are unstoppable, but the native inhabitants of this field may not need them at all. What is needed are truly native on-chain stablecoins, non-financial use cases, and the next wave of genuine innovation. The industry does not want to live in a Web3 world built entirely on monetizing traffic. Time is proving that some Bitcoin OGs might not be wrong in their skepticism of the current trends.
However, there is still hope that the industry can course-correct and return to its roots of decentralization and innovation. The decline of native cryptocurrency is not inevitable, but it requires a conscious effort to prioritize substance over style and long-term value over short-term gains. The future of the industry depends on its ability to innovate beyond the current paradigms of stablecoin hegemony and attention economies.