On-chain data confirms that the bottoming out of altcoins by the end of 2025 signals the onset of a new cycle.
Historical patterns in the cryptocurrency market show that Bitcoin typically leads gains at the beginning of a cycle, after which funds shift towards mid-size and large altcoins in search of higher returns. Current technical indicators and on-chain data indicate that this capital reallocation process is accelerating. According to Monitored by Woofun AI, the key indicator ALT/BTC, which measures the relative performance of altcoins, showed signs of bottoming out at the end of 2025 after nearly four years of decline—a trend that closely resembles what occurred before the upsurges in 2017 and 2021. Meanwhile, the small-cap index has broken through previous highs, and this increase in macro-risk appetite usually occurs several months before actual capital flows in the altcoin market. Polkadot’s fundamental reforms, driven by its community, have set a maximum supply of 2.1 billion tokens and reduced annual token issuance by more than 50%. Coupled with the launch of the first NASDAQ ETF products, these measures have created opportunities for institutional investors to enter the market in a regulated manner. SUI boasts significant technical advantages in high-throughput applications such as gaming and finance, thanks to its object-oriented data model and parallel transaction processing capabilities. If the macroeconomic environment improves in the second or third quarter, it could become an attractive mid-scale investment target. The Stellar network currently supports over $1.4 billion in real-world assets, with the Franklin Templeton Fund holding more than $650 million in this asset class. The stablecoin pilots conducted by Bank of America and PwC, as well as the XLM futures contracts planned by CME Group for 2026, will further solidify Stellar’s position as a potential global institutional settlement system. Celo addresses the mobile payment needs in areas not covered by traditional banks and uses its EVM-compatible architecture to lower development barriers. As the market matures, capital will be more inclined to invest in projects with practical applications rather than simply speculative assets. Raydium, as the first automated market maker in the Solana ecosystem, sees its profits directly linked to the growth of decentralized financial applications on the platform. If the activity within the Solana ecosystem increases during the altcoin season, Raydium will benefit significantly from the increased liquidity.